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FORECAST OF PRISON POPULATION IN THE CZECH REPUBLIC USING COHORT-COMPONENT MODEL

Publication at Faculty of Science |
2015

Abstract

Knowledge of the size of the prison population and its structure is for government very important because it allows planning the future expenses and investments in the prison system. Furthermore, this knowledge is critical, as in the case of adverse developments it will enable the responsible authorities to react in time and avoid unfavourable developments.

This article summarizes some general knowledge of forecasting prison populations and in a simple example illustrates the possibilities of these forecasts.