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The dynamics of value across global equity markets : the risk contagion

Publication

Abstract

The ratio between the share price and current earnings per share, the PE ratio, is widely considered to be an effective gauge of under/overvaluation of a corporation's stock. Arguably, a more reliable indicator, the Cyclically-Adjusted Price Earning ratio or CAPE, can be obtained by replacing current earnings with a measure of permanent earnings i.e. the profits that a corporation is able to earn, on average, over the medium to long run.

In this study, we aim to understand the cross-sectional aspects of the dynamics of the valuation metrics across global stock markets including both developed and emerging markets.